Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks – May 28

Data Skrive

Paul Skenes gets the nod on the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates against Corbin Carroll and the Arizona Diamondbacks on Wednesday at 3:40 p.m. ET. The favored Diamondbacks have -267 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +217. Arizona (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -119 odds on the over and -101 odds to go under).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Diamondbacks-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 at 3:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
• How to watch on TV: ARID and SportsNet PT

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Pirates 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Diamondbacks 56%, Pirates 44%

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 34 times and won 19, or 55.9%, of those games.
• This season Arizona has won two of its three games when favored by at least -267 on the moneyline.
• The Diamondbacks have a 72.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 38 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (34.2%) in those games.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +217 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 31.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

• The Diamondbacks played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and finished 3-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Diamondbacks combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total three times.
• The Diamondbacks have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Diamondbacks Player Insights

• Geraldo Perdomo leads the Diamondbacks with a .299 batting average.
• Among all MLB batters, Perdomo ranks 16th in batting average, eighth in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
• Corbin Carroll’s 15 home runs pace his team.
• Carroll ranks fifth in home runs and 21st in RBI on the season.
• Josh Naylor is batting .287 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.
• Naylor has at least one base hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a double, a triple, a home run and four RBIs.
• Eugenio Suarez has shown off his power as he paces his team with 15 home runs and 41 runs batted in.
• Suarez brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Oneil Cruz leads the Pirates with 11 home runs.
• In all of the big leagues, Cruz ranks 21st in homers and 99th in RBI.
• Cruz has collected a hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .235 with two doubles, a triple, three home runs, six walks and five RBIs.
• Andrew McCutchen is batting .261 to lead the lineup.
• McCutchen is 193rd in home runs and 209th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Bryan Reynolds has driven in a team-best 27 runs batted in.
• Adam Frazier is batting .260 with seven doubles, two home runs and 14 walks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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